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- Stephen M. Haas, Director
- Erica Turley, Research Analyst
- West Virginia Statistical Analysis Center
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- PSN is the federal firearms initiative aimed at reducing gun violence
through coordinated strategic planning.
- The foundation built upon the apparent success of local initiatives:
- Project Exile in Richmond, VA
- Boston’s Operation Ceasefire, and
- the Strategic Approaches to Community Safety Initiative (SACSI) sites.
- Project Exile used enhanced federal prosecution efforts with longer
sentences and a targeted public awareness campaign to deter potential
offenders.
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- In recognition of the unique gun crime problems in existence across the
country, a “one-size-fits-all” strategy was not mandated for all 94
federal judicial districts under the PSN initiative.
- Many districts received funding for a media outreach partner to guide
local community outreach and public awareness activities.
- The outreach partner was to guide development, production, and
distribution of the local public awareness campaign, as well as to
engage members of the community in the initiative.
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- Implemented in WV’s Southern
District
- Initially launched in the spring
of 2004
- Three target counties (Kanawha,
Cabell, Raleigh)
- Main focus: Community outreach
and a localized
- media campaign based on
deterrence
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- Television, radio, billboards, and various other posters, flyers, and
stickers were distributed in the district.
- Used federal firearms laws and their harsh penalties with no parole to
educate and deter potential offenders and the community.
- Message: “Commit a crime with a gun, spend 5 years to life in federal
prison, no parole.”
- Intended to deter gun violence, and more generally, violent crime using
federal firearms laws.
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- Purpose: To examine the potential deterrent impact of the media campaign
- One part of a larger evaluation that examines prosecution data and
pre-post crime trends
- Research focus:
- To what extent did the media campaign reach its intended audience?
- How concerned are citizen’s about crime and gun crime in their
neighborhoods?
- Did exposure to the message increase knowledge of federal firearm laws?
- Did exposure to the message change citizen’s perceptions of the
certainty and severity of punishment for gun crimes?
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- Statewide telephone survey of adult WV residents residing in households
- 3 regions of the state, stratified: northern judicial district, southern
target counties, and south remainder
- The telephone interviews were conducted in the fall of 2005, private
telemarketing research firm
- Interviews conducted weekday evenings and all day on Saturdays
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- Interviewers were extensively trained:
- Initial 1-hour training, followed by mock interviews, and ongoing
training as necessary
- Supervisor monitored
- Survey questionnaire was piloted
- 30 surveys
- effort to eliminate confusing questions or wordings
- Random Digit Dialing (RDD) was used to obtain the sample
- Eligible households and respondents:
- 18 years or older (youngest adult requested)
- No law enforcement or victim service providers
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- The total unweighted sample of 809 for the state
- Weighted samples based on 2000 Census – gender, race, age
- Final weighted sample: 778 participants, 198 in the south target, 189 in
the remaining southern counties
- Southern Target: 52.9% female, 8.5% nonwhite, 28.9% 18 to 24 years of
age; 47.6% married, 8.0% not HS graduate, 20.0% less than $15K
- Southern Comparison: 47.3% female, 3.3% nonwhite, 26.9% 18 to 24 years
of age; 54.6% married, 17.0% not HS graduate, 24.9% less than $15K
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- Residents in the target counties were significantly more likely to have
heard of Hard Time for Gun Crime.
- However, for both the target and comparison group, violent crime
involving firearms is seen as the least of concerns.
- Fear of crime and gun crime is slightly greater in target counties.
- Regardless of exposure or not, only a small percentage of residents were
knowledgeable of federal firearm laws.
- Exposure to campaign did not appear to increase knowledge of federal
firearm laws.
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- Certainty of receiving punishment declines as penalties become more
severe, regardless of exposure or study group.
- Exposure to the campaign did not increase perceptions of punishment
certainty among target county residents.
- Persons who were exposed to the campaign were slightly more likely to
believe that the severity of penalties for committing gun crimes had increased
in the past two years.
- However, exposure to the campaign did not increase residents perceptions
of punishment severity.
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- Broad media campaign approaches to general populations of residents may
not be effective in changing attitudes toward gun crime.
- May want to consider a more targeted approach (e.g., felony offenders
rather than general population campaign).
- Contributes to the growing body of literature showing deterrent messages
have a greater impact when targeted to specific people and/or places.
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- Not able to isolate offenders due to small number with prior contact
with system.
- Triangulate these results with prosecution and crime trend data to
assess overall impact of PSN.
- Conduct multivariate analysis to examine the importance of exposure
while controlling for other variables (e.g., gun ownership, prior
victimization, demographics).
- Determine if the impact of exposure is different in target versus the
remaining southern counties based on multivariate analysis.
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- Stephen M. Haas, Ph.D.
- Director
- WV Statistical Analysis Center
- 304/558-8814, ext. 269
- shaas@wvdcjs.org
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